Since
March 2001, the U.S.
dollar has been under
considerable pressure.
If
you take a trip to
Europe, New Zealand
or Australia, you’ll
find this to be readily
apparent. The U.S.
dollar just doesn’t
go as far as it did
four years ago.
The
average American aware
that the dollar is
under pressure, but
few Americans realize
the magnitude of the
harmful erosion of
their hard-earned purchasing
power.
Just
consider that, in just
a few years, the US
dollar has depreciated
more than 34% against
the Swiss franc, more
than 37% against the
Euro and Australian
dollar, and a whopping
60% against the New
Zealand dollar!
Now
take into account how
the US dollar has faired
against precious metals.
Gold
had gone up more than
59%; silver more than
55%; platinum more
than 43%.
The
impact of the Twin
Deficits (U.S. foreign
trade and budget),
geopolitical unrest,
lower interest rates,
higher crude oil prices,
and a lackluster economy
are already being felt.
It’s
believed this wholesale
loss of purchasing
power for U.S. dollar-based
investors could be
the precursor of bigger
things to come. This
is just a small Bull
Market for precious
metals. In the larger
Bull Market for the
next 3-5 years, you
will see precious metals
outperform not only
the US dollar, but
all the worlds other
major currencies as
well. So far, precious
metals
have kept pace with
other currencies or
slightly outperformed
them.
The
pressures going forward
are of a global nature.
Higher crude oil prices
will not just affect
the dollar. Cars are
being driven in Europe
and Asia too. These
economies are not immune
to higher costs of
all products that ultimately
find their way to market
via a gasoline powered
vehicle.
There
will be other global
pressures felt as well.
Lackluster economies
are littering the
globe, but the U.S.
isn't unique. Citizens
of the World will be
looking for alternatives
to traditional investment
strategies. And there
has been a drop in
Central bank sales
of precious metals.
This, combined with
a continued decrease
in producers forward
selling, means more
pressure on the mines
to produce to a level
that can satisfy the
growing demand.
Other
pressures that will
increase the demand
for precious metals:
The
lifting of Japanese
Bank Deposit Guarantee,
as in 2002;
Opening
of deregulated precious
metals markets in China
and India;
Exchange-Traded
Funds make precious
metals more accessible
to the average investor
All
in all, there are significant
pressures being applied
to the supply and demand
equation of the precious
metals complex. For
investors, the good
news is that they are
almost exclusively
geared toward increasing
demand and reducing
supply.
How
do you take advantage
of these opportunities?
The answer lies in
a mixture of gold and
silver, with a weighting
toward silver. At the
present price levels,
consider buying a cost-effective
form of precious metals
suited for a safe,
inexpensive medium
to long term holdings
such as Perth Mint
Certificates (PMC’s).
PMC’s carry extremely
low premiums, no storage
fees for unallocated
storage, and come with
a government guarantee
from the triple-A rated
(Standard & Poor's) Western Australian government.
If
you would like more
information regarding
asset protection, trusts,
family limited partnerships
or the subject of this
article please call
or email our office.